A 'No' bet carried odds of -145. By 1 p.m., Bovada's moneyline for Kavanaugh's confirmation had moved to +130 for 'Yes' and -160 for 'No.' But during Kavanaugh's testimony, the 'Yes' line shifted. Bovada released five betting lines on Friday afternoon that involve Judge Brett Kavanaugh, President Donald Trump's nominee to the Supreme Court, following the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee voting to move the confirmation to Senate floor pending a limited, one-week FBI Investigation. Facing an uphill battle to derail Donald Trump's second nominee to the U.S. Supreme Court, Senate Democrats fanned out on Sunday to cast Judge Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation fight as a referendum on White House accountability. Bovada released five betting lines on Friday afternoon that involve Judge Brett Kavanaugh, President Donald Trump's nominee to the Supreme Court, following the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee voting to move the confirmation to Senate floor pending a limited, one-week FBI Investigation. Below are the odds for Justice Ginsburg's replacement, as well as two prop bets regarding the eventual date of confirmation. Amy Coney Barrett was selected by Trump for the SCOTUS on Saturday, September 26th, and as long as she can pass through the Republican-led US Senate, she'll confirm the oddsmakers' beliefs expressed in the betting.
It looks we have our next Supreme Court Justice if you value the oddsmakers.
As of Friday morning, September 28, 2018, odds heavily favored Brett Kavanaugh being confirmed as the next United States Supreme Court at Yes (-350) and No (+275), meaning a wager on 'Yes' for $350 wins $100 and a wager on 'No' for $100 wins $275.
The Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to meet Friday at 9:30 a.m. and will vote on whether to recommend Kavanaugh's nomination for a full Senate vote.
If the committee votes in favor of the nomination, the vote to confirm Kavanaugh as the next Supreme Court Justice will have to wait three days due to federal law, meaning a confirmation vote could take place as early as Monday, October 1.
On Thursday, the U.S. Senate began hearing testimonies from both sexual assault accuser Christine Blasey Ford and President Donald Trump's Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.
Before the hearing got underway this morning, Bovada oddsmakers had the odds of Kavanaugh being confirmation at Yes (-170) and No (+140), meaning he was favored to be confirmed.
After Christine Blasey Ford gave her testimony about the alleged sexual assault committed by Kavanaugh when they were in high school, the odds on him being confirmed to flipped to Yes (+120) and No (-150), favoring him not to be confirmed.
However, Kavanaugh was then allowed to defend himself, which was followed up by emotional outbursts led by South Carolina Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, accusing Senate Democrats of 'the most unethical sham since I've been in politics.'
As the committee allowed Kavanaugh to speak and followed up with questions, the odds flipped again and back to him being favored to be confirmed. The odds remain in his favor as of Friday morning.
The odds have been volatile all week as more women have come forward accusing Kavanaugh of sexual assault and critics saying there were holes in Ford's story.
On September 16, 2018, Ford publicly alleged Kavanaugh attempted to rape her in 1982 at a high school party and passed a polygraph test with a former FBI agent. Kavanaugh has refused to take a polygraph test despite having a favorable opinion of it being used in job interviews as judge in Sack v. Dept. of Defense (2016).
In addition to Ford, two more women have come forward alleging they were the victims Kavanaugh and his friends, while in high school, would get girls 'inebriated and disoriented' so the girls could be 'gang raped' by Kavanaugh and his friends.
One more woman claims to have witnessed Kavanaugh and others take advantage of inebriated women at parties.
Kavanaugh vehemently denies all sexual assault allegations from both Ford and the other accusers, claiming he is innocent of all charges.
It uncertain if senators on the committee will allow the confirmation vote to take place with many committee members being unsure to vote in favor of recommendation as of Friday morning going into the committee meeting.
Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who went through the mother of all wringers in his confirmation last year, is making headlines again.
Of course, despite what the big red 'Breaking News' tags on every media outlet across the country want you to believe, the newest Kavanaugh accusations aren't actually new. It turns out that they were known to investigators – and the media – throughout the justice's original vetting process.
In fact, the alleged victim in the case has repeatedly claimed to have no recollection of the event in question. And despite being continuously harassed by investigators and reporters for a solid year, she's made it clear that she has no interest in speaking with them.
Helpfully, partisan political operatives have been more than happy to fill in the gaps of what supposedly happened at some teenage party a lifetime ago.
But as ever, history repeats, and this week's moral outrage – real or fake – is palpable on both sides of the aisle.
As such, sportsbooks are getting in on the action. Of course, these books don't really care what Kavanaugh did or didn't do. They only care about giving an eager public the opportunity to bet on the outcome of the latest full-court impeachment press. (Incidentally, 'impeachment' seems well-positioned to be the American Dialect Society's 2019 Word of the Year.)
BetOnline has odds on whether or not Kavanaugh will be impeached by the end of the year, as well as whether or not he'll just resign to get away from the unending libelous mudslinging of modern political theater.
Will Brett Kavanaugh be impeached by the end of 2019?
- Yes +1000
- No -2500
Will Brett Kavanaugh resign by the end of 2019?
Kavanaugh Confirmation Riots
- Yes +500
- No -1000
While the Kavanaugh scandal isn't new – and though no new information has been unearthed in this conveniently-timed redux – the larger hope was that the public had simply forgotten the events of last year and would thus embrace the new media hysterics.
After all, it's been just shy of a year since Kavanaugh took his place as an Associate Supreme Court Justice, and the madding crowd has a short memory.
So now, Kavanaugh is facing recycled accusations about various unprovable things that may or may not have happened at some undefined point a long time ago.
The bombshell (or dud, depending upon your perspective) reported by the New York Times was quickly proved to be an unethical smear job, leading to retracted tweets and 'updated' articles (i.e. articles with salient, narrative-breaking details edited back in).
Kavanaugh, ironically, has been reliably centrist or center-left with his votes during his young career on the Supreme Court bench. Nevertheless, he remains one of the chief bogeymen among the left-leaning media and the Democratic side of Congress.
As in 2018, President Donald Trump quickly came to Kavanaugh's defense this time around, issuing a series of tweets on the subject. Trump, obviously, is unafraid to defend his allies. Their scandals are unlikely to stick to the Teflon Don.
Commence #TrumpTweetStorm:
Brett Kavanaugh should start suing people for libel, or the Justice Department should come to his rescue. The lies being told about him are unbelievable. False Accusations without recrimination. When does it stop? They are trying to influence his opinions. Can't let that happen!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019
Can't let Brett Kavanaugh give Radical Left Democrat (Liberal Plus) Opinions based on threats of Impeaching him over made up stories (sound familiar?), false allegations, and lies. This is the game they play. Fake and Corrupt News is working overtime! #ProtectKavanaugh
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019
'The New York Times walks back report on Kavanaugh assault claim.' @foxandfriends The one who is actually being assaulted is Justice Kavanaugh – Assaulted by lies and Fake News! This is all about the LameStream Media working with their partner, the Dems.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
It uncertain if senators on the committee will allow the confirmation vote to take place with many committee members being unsure to vote in favor of recommendation as of Friday morning going into the committee meeting.
Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who went through the mother of all wringers in his confirmation last year, is making headlines again.
Of course, despite what the big red 'Breaking News' tags on every media outlet across the country want you to believe, the newest Kavanaugh accusations aren't actually new. It turns out that they were known to investigators – and the media – throughout the justice's original vetting process.
In fact, the alleged victim in the case has repeatedly claimed to have no recollection of the event in question. And despite being continuously harassed by investigators and reporters for a solid year, she's made it clear that she has no interest in speaking with them.
Helpfully, partisan political operatives have been more than happy to fill in the gaps of what supposedly happened at some teenage party a lifetime ago.
But as ever, history repeats, and this week's moral outrage – real or fake – is palpable on both sides of the aisle.
As such, sportsbooks are getting in on the action. Of course, these books don't really care what Kavanaugh did or didn't do. They only care about giving an eager public the opportunity to bet on the outcome of the latest full-court impeachment press. (Incidentally, 'impeachment' seems well-positioned to be the American Dialect Society's 2019 Word of the Year.)
BetOnline has odds on whether or not Kavanaugh will be impeached by the end of the year, as well as whether or not he'll just resign to get away from the unending libelous mudslinging of modern political theater.
Will Brett Kavanaugh be impeached by the end of 2019?
- Yes +1000
- No -2500
Will Brett Kavanaugh resign by the end of 2019?
Kavanaugh Confirmation Riots
- Yes +500
- No -1000
While the Kavanaugh scandal isn't new – and though no new information has been unearthed in this conveniently-timed redux – the larger hope was that the public had simply forgotten the events of last year and would thus embrace the new media hysterics.
After all, it's been just shy of a year since Kavanaugh took his place as an Associate Supreme Court Justice, and the madding crowd has a short memory.
So now, Kavanaugh is facing recycled accusations about various unprovable things that may or may not have happened at some undefined point a long time ago.
The bombshell (or dud, depending upon your perspective) reported by the New York Times was quickly proved to be an unethical smear job, leading to retracted tweets and 'updated' articles (i.e. articles with salient, narrative-breaking details edited back in).
Kavanaugh, ironically, has been reliably centrist or center-left with his votes during his young career on the Supreme Court bench. Nevertheless, he remains one of the chief bogeymen among the left-leaning media and the Democratic side of Congress.
As in 2018, President Donald Trump quickly came to Kavanaugh's defense this time around, issuing a series of tweets on the subject. Trump, obviously, is unafraid to defend his allies. Their scandals are unlikely to stick to the Teflon Don.
Commence #TrumpTweetStorm:
Brett Kavanaugh should start suing people for libel, or the Justice Department should come to his rescue. The lies being told about him are unbelievable. False Accusations without recrimination. When does it stop? They are trying to influence his opinions. Can't let that happen!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019
Can't let Brett Kavanaugh give Radical Left Democrat (Liberal Plus) Opinions based on threats of Impeaching him over made up stories (sound familiar?), false allegations, and lies. This is the game they play. Fake and Corrupt News is working overtime! #ProtectKavanaugh
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 15, 2019
'The New York Times walks back report on Kavanaugh assault claim.' @foxandfriends The one who is actually being assaulted is Justice Kavanaugh – Assaulted by lies and Fake News! This is all about the LameStream Media working with their partner, the Dems.
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
'What's happening to Justice Kavanaugh is a disgrace. This guy is not a good man, he is a great man. He has to go to his church with his family while these terrible reports are being written about him, a disgrace!' Dan Bongino @foxandfriends
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
Just Out: 'Kavanaugh accuser doesn't recall incident.' @foxandfriends DO YOU BELIEVE WHAT THESE HORRIBLE PEOPLE WILL DO OR SAY. They are looking to destroy, and influence his opinions – but played the game badly. They should be sued!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) September 16, 2019
And so on.
Meanwhile, as Trump offers outspoken support of his SCOTUS nominee, he's also playing to his base in a political fight of his own. As with Kavanaugh, impeachment is the issue of the day.
However, after former Trump campaign manager Corey Lewandowski was aimlessly and embarrassingly grilled on Capitol Hill this week, Trump's impeachment odds have grown considerably longer than they were before.
As expected, the week's events have had no appreciable negative effect on Trump's presidential election odds, with the incumbent still sitting high atop the betting boards.
2020 Presidential Election Odds
Via BetOnline
Betting Odds On Kavanaugh Confirmation
- Donald Trump +100
- Elizabeth Warren +400
- Joe Biden +700
- Bernie Sanders +900
- Andrew Yang +1200
- Kamala Harris +2000
- Pete Buttigieg +3300
- Tulsi Gabbard +5000
- Cory Booker +6600
- Beto O'Rourke +6600
- Amy Klobuchar +10000
- Mike Pence +10000
- Mark Sanford +10000
- Tom Steyer +10000
- Julian Castro +15000
- Jay Inslee +15000
- Marianne Williamson +15000
- Michael Bennet +25000
- Bill de Blasio +25000
- John Delaney +25000
- Tim Ryan +25000
